Tag Archives: Nevada

Cambio

Too cool!

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You can see the live Caucus results here.

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Nevada Blogger Predictions

You know my stance, I won’t make predictions in races where I care who wins. So, I will make predictions for tomorrow’s Republican caucus in Nevada, and for the South Carolina primary. But I won’t jinx Barack by attempting to predict what happens for the Democrats.

Nevada – Republicans

Romney – 25
McCain – 20
Paul – 18

South Carolina – Republicans

Huckabee – 30
McCain – 27
Thompson – 15
Romney – 12

Thus, my theory of right-wing chaos takes one more step to coming true. Well, what would be even better is if Ron Paul can pull it off in Nevada, and Grandpa Fred can become the comeback geriatric and win South Carolina. I know, I’m wishing for too much.

Some other predictions from the netroots

Openleft – Chris Bowers
Bleeding Heartland
StopjustStop

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Gut Instincts: Obama’s Going Up!

So far, amidst all the polls, all the predictions, pundits, and idiocracy, there has been one thing that has led me in the right direction, one things that has been pretty accurate in who’s doing well and who’s not.

My good old, trustworthy gut.

Back in the fall, my guys wasn’t feeling to great. Barack Obama was gaining no traction in Iowa. We were holding rallies, organizing canvasses, but turnout was mediocre. Had we peaked already? In October, at a Saturday Canvass kick-off rally in Des Moines, only 100 people showed up on the dreary but warn day. A few days later, the five year anniversary speech of Barack’s first standing against the war took place in a half filled room, and received no media coverage. Inevitable looked, well, inevitable.

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Gut Instincts: Obama's Going Up!

So far, amidst all the polls, all the predictions, pundits, and idiocracy, there has been one thing that has led me in the right direction, one things that has been pretty accurate in who’s doing well and who’s not.

My good old, trustworthy gut.

Back in the fall, my guys wasn’t feeling to great. Barack Obama was gaining no traction in Iowa. We were holding rallies, organizing canvasses, but turnout was mediocre. Had we peaked already? In October, at a Saturday Canvass kick-off rally in Des Moines, only 100 people showed up on the dreary but warn day. A few days later, the five year anniversary speech of Barack’s first standing against the war took place in a half filled room, and received no media coverage. Inevitable looked, well, inevitable.

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State of the Primary, 1/14/08

Racial Rhetoric is taking front stage in the battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Whether its surrogates opening their mouths too much, or a coordinated campaign is yet to be seen. Obama won Iowa and finished a close second in New Hampshire, two predominantly white states. Now, we’re off to Nevada, a diverse state with a large latino population, and South Carolina, where 50% of the electorate is African American.

On the other side, its all about Michigan. Kos and a few other prominent bloggers have started the “Democrats for Mitt.” Since Democrats have no one to vote for in Michigan (except Hillary) the idea is to get Democrats to crossover and “save” the Romney campaign, breathing life and helping further throw the GOP race in chaos. Sounds good to me, does that mean next, we aim for a Fred Thompson comeback in South Carolina?

On our side, its off to Nevada. New polls show a close race, but how reliable are polls these days? Exactly.

And a shout out to Chargers fans everywhere…bring on the Patriots!

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