Tag Archives: Republicans

Liveblogging Rudy and Sarah

7:57 – I’m trying to visualize the Vice Presidential debate. My only fear is that Joe Biden will come of as too chauvinist. It’s almost like a setup, where something he says will come out as being offensive to Palin. Kinda like how John Edwards comment about Cheney’s lesbian daughter became the big story about the VP debate in 2004. We shall see.

7:50 – Crowd sounds loud, but then I look, and it looks so timid. This feels like the country fair versus Obama’s professional Disneyland. Well, maybe that’s nit the best analogy.

7:45 – My first impression – she’s a good speaker. Reminds of a mean elementary school teacher, one whom I can just tell doesn’t really know anything except how to talk with authority.

Does that make me a sexist?

7:30 pm – Rudy recap. So all three of the losers came out, though I don’t recall hearing anything about
“party unity” here.

7:26 pm – Doesn’t this speech feel like nothing more than the reshashing of a Hillary Clinton speech? None of the barbs against Obama are fresh, and as a result, they won’t get picked up by the national narrative.

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Wearing an Obama shirt to the Republican Caucus

It’s caucus day, part 2! After caucusing for Barack at the Kansas Democratic caucus last week, I thought that I’d see how they did things on the other side of the aisle. So, I rustled myself out of bed at 9AM (who holds a caucus at 9AM?!) this morning and drove five minutes to my former high school where the caucus was going to be held.

Much to my surprise, the line was stretched out the door and around the entire school, equivalent to the Democratic caucus. But, considering that my county probably has a 2-1 Republican to Democrat ratio, perhaps it wasn’t that big of a surprise. Throw in the sunny, beautiful weather versus the icestorm on Tuesday night, and it’s less of a surprise. What also surprised me was the whiteness of the crowd. Kansas isn’t too diverse, but this was ridiculous. Out of perhaps a thousand people, I only saw three other non-white people, an African American couple in the auditorium, and another African American who was a volunteer with the party. And then there’s me, who wasn’t even voting.

Did I mention I was wearing my Barack Obama t-shirt?

More below.

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Super Tuesday Projections

As you might know, I’m a bit superstitious. And I support Barack Obama. So, I’m a little wary to make any predictions about the Democratic Primary for fear of jinxing Barack.

However, I wanted to point everyone towards this excellent, well researched, and incredibly enlightening Super Tuesday projection from Poblano over at DailyKos. His generous predictions are forecasting a slight victory for Hillary Clinton. The only thing I would add is that, if as Poblano predicts, Hillary gets 37.5% in Kansas, I would be shocked.

[UPDATE]

I’m gonna go ahead and make some Republican Projections. With Pollster.com as my guide and intuition at my back, here we go! In East to West order (estimated polling close time). I’ve noticed a lot of polls starting to shift to Romney, so I’m beginning to wonder if a comeback is in line.

Predictions below the fold.

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The Republicans Greatest Hits

Sorry for the delay, been busy with interview and Feb 5th preparations. You know, it’s only six days to (as I like to call it) Tsunami Tuesday. It seems that lately, we are slowly losing our favorite Republican candidates. Fred, we hardly knew ya. Guiliani, boy, have you fallen hard. Then there’s the others, Duncan Hunter, Tommy Thompson, Jim Gilmore, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, you know, those white guys on the corners at the debates, around all the other white guys?

So, for fun and a little diversion, I thought that I’d put together a few comedic youtube clips together. I call it the Republicans Greatest Hits, 2008 Campaign Edition. Enjoy! Feel free to post anything that I might have missed in the comments (and boy, are there a lot!)

Videos and more below the fold. Continue reading

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Time for Democrats for Rudy?

In Michigan, it was Democrats for Mitt. Now, is time to back America’s Mayor?

I’ve jumped full hand into the Theory of Republican Chaos. And so far, the numbers were fitting the equation.

First, Mike Huckabee won Iowa. Evangelicals, check.

Then, John McCain won New Hampshire. War-mongers, check.

Then, Mitt Romney won Michigan. Gullible Republicans, check!

Now the cycle had to replicate itself. Romney won Nevada (I was gunning for Ron Paul), so Huckabee had to lay claim to the South and win South Carolina. In a ideal situation, Fred Thompson would have made his comeback, but the theory wasn’t willing to go that far. Crossposted at OpenLeft and NithinCoca.com

John McCain won South Carolina. A dagger to the theory.

Now there’s only one way for chaos to resume control. I think it may be time. Rudy Guiliani must win Florida.

I know. It’s a different situation than in Michigan. Barack Obama and John Edwards are both on the ballot, and even though there are no delegates, the media will take notice as to whoever wins. Though the hotly contested Republican race will probably dominate the media coverage, especially with the latest polls showing a virtual four way tie within the margin of error.

Six points separate John McCain from Mike Huckabee. In reality, any one of the top four can win.

But who would cause the most chaos?

Rudy Guiliani.

Because when the world wavered and history hesitated, he picked up a shovel for a photo-op!

But the real reason is, nothing is better for us than mass chaos on the other side. If McCain wins, he might win it all on Super Tuesday, while the Democrats might continue going for another month. That is unacceptable. So, Floridians, tell all your Republican friends that we fear Rudy Guiliani. That only he can beat the Democrats in November, and that we are so happy to face “Ages three years for every one” John McCain. If necessary, use Chuck Norris.

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Rudy! Rudy! Rudy! Lastly, from America’s Top News Source, the real reason that we want Rudy to win.

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Nevada Blogger Predictions

You know my stance, I won’t make predictions in races where I care who wins. So, I will make predictions for tomorrow’s Republican caucus in Nevada, and for the South Carolina primary. But I won’t jinx Barack by attempting to predict what happens for the Democrats.

Nevada – Republicans

Romney – 25
McCain – 20
Paul – 18

South Carolina – Republicans

Huckabee – 30
McCain – 27
Thompson – 15
Romney – 12

Thus, my theory of right-wing chaos takes one more step to coming true. Well, what would be even better is if Ron Paul can pull it off in Nevada, and Grandpa Fred can become the comeback geriatric and win South Carolina. I know, I’m wishing for too much.

Some other predictions from the netroots

Openleft – Chris Bowers
Bleeding Heartland
StopjustStop

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State of the Primary, 1/14/08

Racial Rhetoric is taking front stage in the battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Whether its surrogates opening their mouths too much, or a coordinated campaign is yet to be seen. Obama won Iowa and finished a close second in New Hampshire, two predominantly white states. Now, we’re off to Nevada, a diverse state with a large latino population, and South Carolina, where 50% of the electorate is African American.

On the other side, its all about Michigan. Kos and a few other prominent bloggers have started the “Democrats for Mitt.” Since Democrats have no one to vote for in Michigan (except Hillary) the idea is to get Democrats to crossover and “save” the Romney campaign, breathing life and helping further throw the GOP race in chaos. Sounds good to me, does that mean next, we aim for a Fred Thompson comeback in South Carolina?

On our side, its off to Nevada. New polls show a close race, but how reliable are polls these days? Exactly.

And a shout out to Chargers fans everywhere…bring on the Patriots!

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Obama: Experienced vs. the Republicans

Will Obama’s experience hurt in the general? It’s been his achilles heel so far in the primary race, (though to some, it might be the reason they are voting for him). We’ve all known about Hillary forever, for me, since I was nine. John Edwards was once the next Vice President of the United States. Joe Biden and Chris Dodd are stalwarts of the Senate, and I haven’t even mentioned the candidate with the most impressive resume, Bill Richardson. Compared to his opposition, perhaps Obama is inexperienced.

But will this matter in the general? Let’s take a look at Obama’s experience versus that of five Republicans. I am excluding Fred Thompson because, well, do you actually think Fred can win? And I’m throwing in Ron Paul for shits and giggles, and cause I still think he has a chance. I’ll define experience in four ways – legislative, executive, political, and foreign policy. I will also pro-rate this up to election day 2008. Numbers signify years of experience.

Crossposted at Daily Kos and OneMillionStrong.US

Barack Obama
Legislative: 12 (4 US Senate, 8 Illinois legislature)
Executive: 0
Political: 3 (Community Organizer)
Foreign Policy: 4 (US Senate Foreign Relations Committee)
Extra Credit: Professor of Constitutional Law at University of Chicago, Editor of the Harvard Law Review

Mike Huckabee
Legislative: 0
Executive: 10 (Governor of Arkansas)
Political: 3 (Lietenent Governor of Arkansas)
Foreign Policy: 0
Extra Credit: President of the Arkansas Baptist State Convention, Ordained minister.

Mitt Romney
Legislative: 0
Executive: 4 (Governor of Mass)
Political: 1 (Salt Lake City Olympics CEO)
Foreign Policy: 0
Extra Credit: Successful businessman. Former bishop.

Rudy Guiliani
Legislative: 0
Executive: 8 (Mayor of NYC)
Political: 12 (US Attorney (2X) and Associate Attorney General)
Foreign Policy: 0
Extra Credit: 9/11. Once was a law clerk? Has ruled the lecture circuit since leaving Mayoral post.

John McCain
Legislative: 26 (4 Congressional, 22 US Senate)
Executive: 0
Foreign Policy: 0 (Not a member of any Foreign Relations related committees!)
Political: 4 (Navy Liason to the US Senate)
Extra Credit: Served bravely in Vietnam, spent five years in a POW camp.

Ron Paul
Legislative: 18 (US Re 3X)
Executive: 0
Foreign Policy: 6 (House Foreign Relations Committee)
Political: 0
Extra Credit: OB/GYN, delivered many babies. Even when he was a Congressman.

Conclusion

Only one Republican candidate for President can claim truthfully to be more experienced than Barack Obama, and he, in my opinion, is the least likely of any candidate on this page to win. John McCain will not be the Republican nominee for President, and even if he is, I doubt he could use experience to beat Barack. More likely, people will worry about his age, at 73 he would be the oldest first term President ever.

As for everyone else, Barack Obama more or as much legislative, and except for Ron Paul, more foreign policy experience. He has been in the public sphere as long as, or longer, than any candidate except for John McCain and Rudy Guiliani.

Compared to the Republicans running for President (a truly weak field) Barack Obama is experienced, fresh, and electable. No Republican will be able to effectively use experience as an issue against Barack. He can beat the Republicans in November, and he can beat them decisively. Experience will not be an issue in Fall 2008 with Barack Obama as the Democratic nominee for President.

Sources: Wikipedia and candidate websites.

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